Pundit ClaimsAI claims by Gary Marcus and Ed Zitron, with the evidence

Changes, page 56 of 60

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Changes 11,001 to 11,200 of 11,844, newest first. Page 56 of 60.

  1. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    It may still be possible to get a net positive or even great outcome from AI, possibly transforming technology and medicine.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  2. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    More than 20 countries signed a call for action on AI that captures much of what Marcus has long advocated.

    A reviewer didn’t accept one of the pieces of evidence.

  3. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    The choices made now about AI may have effects that last for generations.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  4. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    Belief in magic may be declining

    The final check failed: a cited source didn’t say what the write-up said.

  5. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    Gemini can't even remember who was on Apollo 11.

    A piece of evidence came from the wrong dates.

  6. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    ChatGPT had an unexplained meltdown.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  7. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    Gary Marcus has said from day 1 that LLMs are oversold.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  8. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    Belief in magic may be declining

    One of the AIs read the claim differently from our summary.

  9. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    Social media platforms will be polluted by automated misinformation much as the internet as a whole will be.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  10. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    Automatic misinformation generation tools will accelerate the degradation of the internet.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  11. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    Businesses that do not use automatic misinformation generation systems may be at a disadvantage.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  12. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    Wholesale generation of misinformation should be punishable and enforced against.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  13. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    The killer app of AGI may be killing truth.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  14. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    We need AI smart enough to know when it is being used to spread falsehoods.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  15. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    The temptation for all political sides to use automatic misinformation tools is likely to be overwhelming.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  16. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    Elections may hinge on automatic misinformation generation systems.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  17. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    Existing laws are not sufficient to protect against the full scope of harms generative AI is beginning to enable.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  18. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    As far as the author knows, wholesale misinformation is not illegal in the US except arguably in narrow domains like securities fraud.

    A reviewer said our test wasn’t fair to what was actually said.

  19. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    OpenAI tempered expectations for its next event and said we would not see GPT-5 at that event.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  20. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    Nvidia stock fell 6% on August 5, 2024, and 20% over the previous month.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  21. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    LLMs on their own are not and will never be AGI.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  22. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    Scaling alone was never going to be enough to reach AGI.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  23. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    August 5, 2024, a big day in tech?

    One of the AIs read the claim differently from our summary.

  24. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    Elon Musk's new lawsuit against OpenAI could force a court to discuss what AGI means.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  25. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    August 5, 2024, a big day in tech?

    One of the AIs read the claim differently from our summary.

  26. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    It is not out of the question that August 5, 2024 could someday end up being seen as a turning point.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  27. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    Adding AI into the mix of social media could easily make things a lot worse.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  28. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    OpenAI's investors may well succeed in getting the board to resign and bringing Sam Altman back.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  29. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    The public has no say in how OpenAI's governance crisis is resolved, including its implications for safety and humanity.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  30. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    People should check whether boasted ARR means Annual Recurring Revenue or Annualized Run Rate.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  31. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    ARR vs ARR. Watch out for this one sly trick.

    The two reviewers read the claim differently.

  32. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    Are social media and coordinated misinformation campaigns fomenting extremism?

    One AI wasn’t sure who said it.

  33. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    TikTok has no interest in showing users a balanced or statistically representative view of the world.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  34. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    TikTok's recommendation algorithm, when applied to daily news, is likely doing serious damage to people's ability to co-exist.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  35. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    Current AI only absorbs and mimics data and never reflects critically on it.

    A reviewer said our test wasn’t fair to what was actually said.

  36. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    Current AI systems cannot tell jokes and fiction apart from reality, while well-motivated humans usually can.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  37. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    An LLM just spits back what it has read, sometimes in transmogrified form.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  38. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    Everyone should stand with Anthropic in its lawsuit against the US government.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  39. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    Gary Marcus fully supports Anthropic's new lawsuit against the US government, although he says Dario Amodei is no saint.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  40. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    Anthropic has broad support against Hegseth's actions, which are unprecedented.

    A piece of evidence came from the wrong dates.

  41. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    LLMs will never be secure, trustworthy AI.

    The final check failed: a cited source didn’t say what the write-up said.

  42. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    The attack surface of LLMs appears to be infinite, violating the cybersecurity principle of keeping attack surfaces small.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  43. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    There appears to be an endless number of ways to attack LLMs.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  44. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    Even as some jailbreaks are patched, there will very likely always be more jailbreak attacks on LLMs.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  45. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    LLMs arguably still belong in the lab rather than in widespread deployment.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  46. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    Because nobody knows exactly how LLMs work, nobody can ever issue strong guarantees about them.

    A reviewer said our test wasn’t fair to what was actually said.

  47. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    An Open Letter to Sam Altman

    One of the AIs read the claim differently from our summary.

  48. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    Much of what SB-1047 would require is something AI companies already voluntarily committed to at the White House and in Seoul.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  49. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    SB-1047 does not require AI developers to predict every possible use of their models.

    A reviewer didn’t accept one of the pieces of evidence.

  50. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    SB-1047 requires developers only to implement reasonable safeguards against critical harms, not to fully mitigate them.

    The final check failed: a cited source didn’t say what the write-up said.

  51. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    If the US starts a new AI cold war with China, it will probably end uncomfortably for everyone, with no clear winners.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  52. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    An epistemic clusterfuck in the making

    One of the AIs read the claim differently from our summary.

  53. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    LLMs whose synthesis is confined to X tweets will be even less grounded in reality than LLMs in general.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  54. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    Quantitative vibes, meaning gut feelings expressed as numbers, are still just vibes.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  55. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    Humanoid robots will not sell 200 times Roomba's roughly 50 million units in the near term.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  56. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    As of October 2024, nobody knows how to build even one safe, reliable, generally useful humanoid robot at any price.

    The final check failed: a cited source didn’t say what the write-up said.

  57. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    By OpenAI's own data, o1 is certainly not 100 times better than GPT-4.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  58. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    People should not take Musk's or Son's AI predictions from the Riyadh forum seriously.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  59. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    Those making these outlandish claims get free press for them, and that drives up the whole thing, at least for a while.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  60. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    Elon Musk has a track record of overoptimistic AI predictions, and his humanoid robot prediction is another one.

    The check used the wrong kind of test for this claim.

  61. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    Nobody can predict AI's future power, chip, and capital needs with the precision Son claimed.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  62. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    AI, even in its current form, is about to have a huge impact on society.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  63. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    AI should pursue hybrid approaches combining neural networks with reasoning and structured representations.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  64. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    Current approaches to getting machines to reason about causality are not adequate, at least not yet.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  65. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    The remaining years of the 2020s will be wild for AI.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  66. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    Recent advances in AI-generated content may lead to an avalanche of misinformation.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  67. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    AI research should place greater emphasis on understanding human intelligence.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  68. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    SpaceX will not return 2,538x its IPO investment as Amazon did, which would imply a market cap of about $4,442 trillion.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  69. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    If AI boosts productivity, the boost may appear first in coding.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  70. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    The AI productivity boom shows up in investment data but not yet in productivity data.

    One AI thought this could be checked, so it needs a full check first.

  71. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    OpenAI is in trouble.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  72. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    OpenAI may not survive.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  73. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    An entire industry is being propped up by math that is insane.

    The two reviewers read the claim differently.

  74. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    SpaceX stock will never deliver returns comparable to Amazon's since its IPO.

    The final check failed: the write-up said more than the evidence showed.

  75. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    Buying the SpaceX IPO reflects poor understanding of math or history.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  76. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    The costs of developing AI data centers, including OpenAI's Stargate, are rising rapidly.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  77. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    Generative AI is a risky bet that could pay off or could well tank the economy.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  78. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    An entire industry is being propped up by math that is insane.

    One of the AIs read the claim differently from our summary.

  79. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    AI is not yet profitable.

    A reviewer didn’t accept one of the pieces of evidence.

  80. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    AI may never become profitable.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  81. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    Anthropic has a chance of becoming profitable.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  82. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    An entire industry is being propped up by math that is insane.

    One of the AIs read the claim differently from our summary.

  83. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    An entire industry is being propped up by math that is insane.

    The two reviewers read the claim differently.

  84. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    To Marcus, Midjourney's output closely resembling copyrighted film stills sure looks like automated, digital plagiarism.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  85. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    An artist fights back, and Midjourney has embarrassed themselves

    The final check failed: a cited source didn’t say what the write-up said.

  86. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    An artist fights back, and Midjourney has embarrassed themselves

    One of the AIs read the claim differently from our summary.

  87. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    Midjourney's output was not labelled as being directly based on copyrighted work.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  88. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    Midjourney retaliated against Southen by revoking his access and wiping his history on the same day.

    A reviewer said our test wasn’t fair to what was actually said.

  89. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    The era when simply adding data and compute produced large gains may well be over.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  90. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    Marcus strongly suspects that pure scaling of AI models has reached a point of diminishing returns, as of November 2024.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  91. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    Scaling (improving AI by adding more data and compute) was always a hypothesis.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  92. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    The American people should have a say in AI policy, especially AI policy of this magnitude, and Congress should deliberate.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  93. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    Hegseth's demand would in principle allow Anthropic's software to be applied to nuclear weapons without humans in the loop.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  94. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    Hegseth's deadline to Anthropic is a power grab meant to circumvent Congress and cut others out of the decision.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  95. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    America, and probably the world, stands on a precipice.

    The final check failed: a cited source didn’t say what the write-up said, and a condition they stated was left out.

  96. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    America, and probably the world, stands on a precipice.

    One of the AIs read the claim differently from our summary.

  97. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    Unrestricted military use of Anthropic's AI could well extend to nuclear weapons.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  98. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    If Hegseth forces Anthropic's Dario Amodei to fold, two monstrous precedents will be set.

    The two reviewers reached different verdicts.

  99. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    The real reason for Sam Altman's move to cut into Elon Musk's turf is to get more data and to pivot OpenAI into surveillance.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  100. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    OpenAI's move into Musk's turf is part of an effort to pivot OpenAI into surveillance.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  101. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    Generative AI systems still hallucinate.

    A piece of evidence came from the wrong dates.

  102. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    LLMs should either be abandoned or used only as components within larger systems that reason and plan better.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  103. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    Generative AI's reliability failings can never be solved, given its inherent nature.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  104. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    Generative AI has no killer app.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  105. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    AlphaProof, AlphaGeometry, ChatGPT, and why the future of AI is neurosymbolic

    The final check of the write-up failed.

  106. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    The current generative AI approach has reached a plateau.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  107. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    Generative AI, especially ChatGPT, will soon flame out.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  108. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    Google DeepMind's work shows neural networks and symbolic systems can be profitably combined.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  109. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    No generative AI company has a competitive moat.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  110. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    AGI cannot be achieved without neurosymbolic AI.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  111. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    The generative AI bubble will begin to burst by July 28, 2025.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  112. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    The current AI investment climate is hugely biased against genuine novelty.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  113. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    GenAI is vastly overrated, and its collapse may well lead to an AI winter of sorts.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  114. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    The impending generative AI collapse will not lead to the absolute death of AI.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  115. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    AlphaProof, AlphaGeometry, ChatGPT, and why the future of AI is neurosymbolic

    A reviewer said our test wasn’t fair to what was actually said.

  116. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    AlphaProof and AlphaGeometry 2 rely on human coders translating Olympiad problems into formal form, a serious shortcoming.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  117. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    Generative AI systems still make boneheaded errors.

    A piece of evidence came from the wrong dates.

  118. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    People are starting to realize generative AI has plateaued, lacks a killer app, still hallucinates and errs, and has no moat.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  119. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    AlphaProof, AlphaGeometry, ChatGPT, and why the future of AI is neurosymbolic

    One of the AIs read the claim differently from our summary.

  120. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    LLMs cannot sanity-check their own work.

    The two reviewers reached different verdicts.

  121. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    AlphaProof, AlphaGeometry, ChatGPT, and why the future of AI is neurosymbolic

    The final check failed: our summary didn’t match their words.

  122. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    Chatbots like ChatGPT have huge gaps in geometric understanding and reasoning.

    A reviewer said our test wasn’t fair to what was actually said.

  123. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    Greater modularity will be a necessary part of future AI.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  124. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    AlphaGeometry2: Impressive accomplishment, but still a long path ahead

    One of the AIs read the claim differently from our summary.

  125. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    AlphaGeometry2 is a specialized system, nowhere close to a single general-purpose learning architecture.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  126. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    AlphaGeometry2: Impressive accomplishment, but still a long path ahead

    One of the AIs read the claim differently from our summary.

  127. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    Benchmarks are often narrow, and strong benchmark results should not be taken as full conceptual understanding.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  128. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    AlphaGeometry does very well on IMO problems but a whole world of geometry lies outside its grasp.

    A piece of evidence came from the wrong dates.

  129. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    The TechCrunch headline's claim about AlphaGeometry2 was not made by DeepMind and is not true.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  130. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    The authors see no reason at all to call AlphaGeometry2's solutions 'superhuman'.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  131. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    The claim that AlphaGeometry2 'just figured out geometry' is false because it does not cover many basic aspects of geometry.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  132. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    AlphaGeometry 1 and 2 and AlphaProof are flagship examples of successful neuro-symbolic AI.

    A piece of evidence came from the wrong dates.

  133. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    AlphaGeometry2: Impressive accomplishment, but still a long path ahead

    The final check failed: a cited source didn’t say what the write-up said.

  134. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    AlphaGeometry2 solving 42 of 50 IMO geometry problems is, without question, a very impressive accomplishment.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  135. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    AlphaGeometry2: Impressive accomplishment, but still a long path ahead

    The two reviewers read the claim differently.

  136. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    People should speak up now against the growing AI-driven surveillance.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  137. Held backBy usGary Marcus

    LLMs are here to stay and society is almost certain to be overrun by a tidal wave of misinformation.

    A reviewer said our test wasn’t fair to what was actually said.

  138. PublishedBy usGary Marcus

    ChatGPT is about as capable as Galactica of producing nonsense misinformation.

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.