Pundit ClaimsAI claims by Gary Marcus and Ed Zitron, with the evidence

Changes, page 19 of 37

Every substantive change to the register, newest first. Speaker events record what the people covered said or changed. Site events record what this site published, corrected, flagged, or withdrew. The two never share a label.

Substantive changes (7383)

Page 19 of 37: changes 3601 to 3800 of 7383, newest first. Dates are when the change was recorded.

  1. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Taking the Salesforce report together with the Apple paper, it is clear that the current tech is not to be trusted.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-seven-replies-to-the-viral-apple-e04f47-a1.

  2. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Over time, scores of papers will reinforce the Apple paper's findings on reasoning model limitations.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-seven-replies-to-the-viral-apple-dbeb5a-a1.

  3. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Reaching AGI will require doing better than current LLMs.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-seven-replies-to-the-viral-apple-db6501-a1.

  4. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-seven-replies-to-the-viral-apple-b58cc0

    The anthropic screen finds the claim checkable, so it must be graded.

  5. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    LLMs retrieving code without conceptual understanding help less on new problems and dynamically changing environments.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-seven-replies-to-the-viral-apple-a5c0a8-a1.

  6. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    If people like Sam Altman are sweating, it is because they should be.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-seven-replies-to-the-viral-apple-9721ba-a1.

  7. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-seven-replies-to-the-viral-apple-8c90aa

    The openai screen reads the claim differently.

  8. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    AI should integrate neural networks with symbolic algorithms and representations.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-seven-replies-to-the-viral-apple-59d7cf-a1.

  9. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Many more examples of LLM/LRM failures at applying algorithms, like those in the Apple paper, will be uncovered.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-seven-replies-to-the-viral-apple-367767-a1.

  10. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    OpenAI absorbs essentially none of the negative externalities of its products, such as misinformation, cybercrime, and fake books.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-seven-reasons-why-the-world-should-fc0fed-a1.

  11. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Sam Altman's request for $7 trillion shows he has jumped the shark.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-seven-reasons-why-the-world-should-f448c7-a1.

  12. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Scaling AI insanely fast risks failure that could damage the whole field of AI.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-seven-reasons-why-the-world-should-f1bec4-a1.

  13. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    A project that costs $7 trillion will inevitably be seen as too big to fail, and any bailout could easily shatter the world's economy.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-seven-reasons-why-the-world-should-df3cf8-a1.

  14. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Large language models are now making scams like fake books easy, and companies like OpenAI seem content to let society bear all the costs.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-seven-reasons-why-the-world-should-beeb12-a1.

  15. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    So far GenAI has been mostly promise rather than delivery, and there is no argument yet that it is actually worth tearing up the globe.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-seven-reasons-why-the-world-should-a313d0-a1.

  16. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    GenAI's future energy needs will probably exceed the power consumption of Germany, especially if models keep growing.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-seven-reasons-why-the-world-should-798bd1-a1.

  17. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    The collapse of a $7 trillion AI project could trigger a worldwide financial depression worse than the 2007-2008 crisis.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-seven-reasons-why-the-world-should-6a4eee-a1.

  18. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-seven-reasons-why-the-world-should-352f92

    The anthropic review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.

  19. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    The AI alignment problem is not remotely solved.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-seven-reasons-why-the-world-should-2251b1-a1.

  20. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-seven-reasons-why-the-world-should-215ca9

    The openai screen doubts the attribution.

  21. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    If competition over resources for AI chips became acute enough, actual war could follow.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-seven-reasons-why-the-world-should-139f51-a1.

  22. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Taking a real chance at wrecking both society and the environment on little more than vague speculation makes no sense.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-seven-reasons-why-the-world-should-07d693-a1.

  23. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-seven-reasons-i-wouldnt-count-google-ea7188

    The anthropic screen reads the claim differently.

  24. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Hassabis and his replacement Kavukcuoglu will keep working together at Google.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-seven-reasons-i-wouldnt-count-google-e611e9-a1.

  25. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Google has strong distribution through Android, Mail, Search, Docs and YouTube.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-seven-reasons-i-wouldnt-count-google-d94efe-a1.

  26. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Google may outlast OpenAI and Anthropic.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-seven-reasons-i-wouldnt-count-google-bf4c78-a1.

  27. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-seven-reasons-i-wouldnt-count-google-8bc68d

    The openai screen reads the claim differently.

  28. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Google definitely doesn't look unassailable as it once did, and may never be as strong as it once was.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-seven-reasons-i-wouldnt-count-google-751e65-a1.

  29. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    It is premature to count Google out.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-seven-reasons-i-wouldnt-count-google-751e65-2-a1.

  30. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Kavukcuoglu's low name recognition may hurt Google short-term, but his sobriety may prove crucial long-term.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-seven-reasons-i-wouldnt-count-google-5bbb07-a1.

  31. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-seven-reasons-i-wouldnt-count-google-37a933

    The anthropic screen finds the claim checkable, so it must be graded.

  32. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Google made $402 billion revenue and $132 billion profit last year and has vastly more cash than OpenAI and Anthropic.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-seven-reasons-i-wouldnt-count-google-35693d-a2.

  33. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    LLMs produce plausible falsehoods because they mimic existing sentences like autocomplete rather than checking what they say against the world.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-seven-lies-in-four-sentences-c392e1-a1.

  34. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    LLMs have not solved the hallucination problem.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-seven-lies-in-four-sentences-99c9db-a1.

  35. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    A recent Microsoft Bing answer about the House Speaker contained at least seven falsehoods.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-seven-lies-in-four-sentences-6dc2e4-a1.

  36. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    The field should commit to building AI that can distinguish facts from fiction.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-seven-lies-in-four-sentences-5eb1e0-a1.

  37. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-seven-lies-in-four-sentences-55debe

    The final-text check failed: rationale_supported_by_evidence, citations_correct.

  38. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Bullshit was and still is the fundamental product of LLMs.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-seven-lies-in-four-sentences-18fbff-a1.

  39. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    People should never trust today's chatbots.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-serious-medical-error-from-perplexitys-2e48be-a1.

  40. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-sentient-ai-for-the-love-of-darwin-f933bc

    The anthropic screen doubts the attribution.

  41. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    AI is subject to the risk of unintended consequences, possibly more than other technologies, and expanding its capabilities increases that risk.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-sentient-ai-for-the-love-of-darwin-c49b1c-a1.

  42. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    We should not blithely assume that anything we might invent in AI can be dealt with.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-sentient-ai-for-the-love-of-darwin-9003ea-a1.

  43. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    The argument over whether AI systems are sentient may well go on for a long time, evolving as the technology advances.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-sentience-and-ai-a-dialog-between-b1a32c-a1.

  44. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Even in the worst case, AI probably will not lead to every human on the planet dying.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-self-modern-post-parody-e75985-a1.

  45. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Big tech AI efforts are regularly and predictably failing in the same way, with ever larger amounts of money spent.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-self-modern-post-parody-a67436-a1.

  46. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-self-modern-post-parody-64906a

    The openai screen doubts the attribution.

  47. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-self-modern-post-parody-309dea

    e1 measures something else (metric net loss is not net profit (net income)); it can only be context unless it is derived with stated inputs; e2 measures something else (metric net loss is not net profit (net income)); it can only be context unless it is derived with stated inputs; e3 measures something else (metric net loss is not net profit (net income)); it can only be context unless it is derived with stated inputs

  48. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-self-modern-post-parody-29759e

    The anthropic review does not accept e3 as contradicts.

  49. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-scott-alexanders-misleading-victory-a5c2d6

    The openai screen reads the claim differently.

  50. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-scott-alexanders-misleading-victory-6b05c6

    The openai review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.

  51. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    It is an enormous, unjustified leap from 'the systems can now solve some compositionality problems' to 'the systems have mastered compositionality'.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-scott-alexanders-misleading-victory-5c5f30-a1.

  52. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-scott-alexanders-misleading-victory-4df734

    The openai review reads the claim differently.

  53. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Once AI truly reaches AGI, finding compositionality counterexamples will be much harder than it is now.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-scott-alexanders-misleading-victory-3c4d1e-a1.

  54. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-scoop-what-former-employees-of-openai-f93cf1

    The anthropic screen reads the claim differently.

  55. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    California's SB-1047, already only a small step toward external AI governance, has been watered down.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-scoop-what-former-employees-of-openai-d30c92-a2.

  56. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    With companies accountable to nothing, not even their statements to Congress and the White House, self-regulation is never going to work.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-scoop-what-former-employees-of-openai-ad2f79-a1.

  57. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    If internal and external AI governance isn't solved before the next big AI advance, we could be in serious trouble.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-scoop-what-former-employees-of-openai-ab415f-a1.

  58. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-scoop-what-former-employees-of-openai-85114f

    hedged language is not scored, even on a plain reading

  59. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-scoop-what-former-employees-of-openai-6498a7

    The final-text check failed; overclaims: criteria.from_speaker lists "they could have proposed amendments months ago" and "including sun-setting the California law once sufficiently similar federal law existed" as the speaker's words. These are Saunders's draft-blog words that Marcus quotes. The drafter's own revision note says so..

  60. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-scoop-what-former-employees-of-openai-5da98c

    The anthropic screen doubts the attribution.

  61. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-scoop-what-former-employees-of-openai-1e9885

    The anthropic screen doubts the attribution.

  62. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    The worst thing about ChatGPT's wrong answer in the cited tweet is not that it is wrong but that it seems so convincing.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-scientists-please-dont-let-your-chatbots-d1ea68-a1.

  63. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    ChatGPT does not contribute genuine ideas, design controlled experiments, or thoughtfully summarize literature.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-scientists-please-dont-let-your-chatbots-bde4b4-a2.

  64. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    ChatGPT is a tool, closer to a spell-checker or stats package than to a scientist.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-scientists-please-dont-let-your-chatbots-ae8918-a1.

  65. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    The trend of listing ChatGPT as a co-author should not continue.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-scientists-please-dont-let-your-chatbots-690228-a1.

  66. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Declaring ChatGPT a co-author says that you are more interested in being on trend than in being on target.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-scientists-please-dont-let-your-chatbots-4d9589-a1.

  67. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Given its current scientific understanding, assigning authorship to ChatGPT disrespects the scientific process.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-scientists-please-dont-let-your-chatbots-3fc387-a1.

  68. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    ChatGPT is clearly not sentient, and scientists should stop treating it as such because doing so misleads the public.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-scientists-please-dont-let-your-chatbots-372a23-a1.

  69. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    ChatGPT should not be made a co-author, just as you wouldn't make your spell-checker or spreadsheet a co-author.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-scientists-please-dont-let-your-chatbots-337542-a1.

  70. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Scientists should not co-author papers with ChatGPT.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-scientists-please-dont-let-your-chatbots-2e48f9-a1.

  71. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-scientists-please-dont-let-your-chatbots-0dd133

    The anthropic screen reads the claim differently.

  72. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    We should worry about both near-term AI risks (such as LLM misinformation and misuse by bad actors) and long-term AI risks.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-scientists-governments-and-corporations-c55139-a1.

  73. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    AI development needs to slow down and focus on research making AI systems trustworthy and reliable.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-scientists-governments-and-corporations-8ab7ed-a1.

  74. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Neural networks do not understand the world.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-scientists-governments-and-corporations-54ce6f-a1.

  75. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Society should not leave AI's future entirely to industry self-regulation.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-scarjo-is-just-the-tip-of-the-iceberg-fedea2-a1.

  76. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-scaling-is-over-the-bubble-may-be-eb414d

    The final-text check failed: citations_correct.

  77. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Scaling of LLMs has run out as of April 2025.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-scaling-is-over-the-bubble-may-be-d00cb4-a2.

  78. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Sam Altman cannot be trusted.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-scaling-is-over-the-bubble-may-be-c60d96-a1.

  79. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    The generative AI bubble might possibly be deflating as of April 2025.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-scaling-is-over-the-bubble-may-be-aa7e98-a1.

  80. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    The AI financial bubble may be bursting as of April 2025.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-scaling-is-over-the-bubble-may-be-a5c690-a1.

  81. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    As of April 2025, all 25 of Marcus's predictions for 2025 seem to be on track.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-scaling-is-over-the-bubble-may-be-8bffe6-a1.

  82. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    LLMs still do not reason reliably as of April 2025.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-scaling-is-over-the-bubble-may-be-719549-a1.

  83. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Generative AI may be turning out to be a financial dud.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-scaling-is-over-the-bubble-may-be-577d1a-a1.

  84. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-scaling-is-over-the-bubble-may-be-55e09f

    The anthropic review does not accept e3 as contradicts.

  85. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    LLMs are not the right path for AI, and better alternative approaches are needed.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-scaling-is-over-the-bubble-may-be-2b1773-a1.

  86. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-scaling-hasnt-gotten-us-to-agi-or-bb88a3

    The two reviews differ: anthropic historical_observation/not_applicable/supported, openai historical_observation/not_applicable/unresolved.

  87. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    The AI field should rethink its approach, and that rethink is overdue.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-scaling-hasnt-gotten-us-to-agi-or-67c040-a1.

  88. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Marcus restates the point of his 2022 essay: AI probably needed new architectures beyond scaling LLMs.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-satya-nadella-and-the-three-stages-e09b95-a1.

  89. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Resistance to criticism of scaling slowed scientific progress in AI.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-satya-nadella-and-the-three-stages-a08185-a1.

  90. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Focusing on LLMs cost AI research almost half a decade. Investing in alternatives might have produced real progress toward robust, trustworthy AI.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-satya-nadella-and-the-three-stages-5a4431-a1.

  91. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-satya-nadella-and-the-three-stages-33c6c1

    The anthropic review reads the claim differently.

  92. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Nobody should ever trust Sam Altman.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-sam-altmans-pants-are-totally-on-ea1edb-a1.

  93. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Sam Altman is now directly lying to the American public, not just to employees.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-sam-altmans-pants-are-totally-on-cd9c7c-a2.

  94. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    The US government should not bail out OpenAI from its reckless spending; the idea is outrageous.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-sam-altmans-pants-are-totally-on-8cd9f8-a1.

  95. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    In a podcast that was probably recorded in the last several days, Altman appears to have been laying the groundwork for loan guarantees.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-sam-altmans-pants-are-totally-on-8a025a-a1.

  96. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-sam-altmans-pants-are-totally-on-7d9bf2

    The anthropic review does not accept e1 as contradicts.

  97. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-sam-altmans-pants-are-totally-on-6fc4ca

    The two reviews differ: anthropic historical_observation/not_applicable/mixed, openai historical_observation/not_applicable/unresolved.

  98. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    The narrative about Sam Altman, which in November was that everybody loved him, has changed a lot.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-sam-altmans-fall-from-grace-de7b53-a1.

  99. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Many people are reaching essentially the same perceptions of Sam Altman.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-sam-altmans-fall-from-grace-3561b0-a1.

  100. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-sam-altmans-attitude-problem-f8e4c9

    The anthropic review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.

  101. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Sam Altman, despite outward appearances, is not a nice person.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-sam-altmans-attitude-problem-f72ce3-a1.

  102. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Sam Altman's response at TED took no responsibility for what appears to be an obvious copyright infringement by an OpenAI system.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-sam-altmans-attitude-problem-e87680-a1.

  103. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-sam-altmans-attitude-problem-d67204

    The anthropic review reads the claim differently.

  104. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    As far as Marcus can tell, OpenAI's April 2026 Superintelligence report is not about anything real or imminent.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-sam-altman-unconstrained-by-the-truth-7a4936-a1.

  105. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-sam-altman-unconstrained-by-the-truth-674386

    The openai screen doubts the attribution.

  106. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    OpenAI's economics make no sense.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-sam-altman-unconstrained-by-the-truth-3941ce-a1.

  107. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    When Sam Altman is in trouble, he often tries to change the narrative with hype.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-sam-altman-unconstrained-by-the-truth-2959b2-a1.

  108. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Sam Altman should not be trusted.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-sam-altman-unconstrained-by-the-truth-22ff23-a1.

  109. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    As of April 2026, Sam Altman is in trouble, with people increasingly concerned about OpenAI's economics.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-sam-altman-unconstrained-by-the-truth-1533bc-a1.

  110. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Marcus does not share Sam Altman's confidence that OpenAI knows how to build AGI.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-sam-altman-thinks-that-agi-is-basically-db5a93-a1.

  111. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Marcus thinks several recent observations show how far AI is from robust intelligence.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-sam-altman-thinks-that-agi-is-basically-d11693-a1.

  112. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-sam-altman-thinks-that-agi-is-basically-b66b53

    The anthropic review does not accept e5 as supports.

  113. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    In o1's best-performance cases there may have been heavy data augmentation that is not possible in more open-ended domains.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-sam-altman-thinks-that-agi-is-basically-ae7212-a1.

  114. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    o1 is probably less robust than hoped, and some benchmark results may be fragile or hard to replicate.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-sam-altman-thinks-that-agi-is-basically-ad7a5f-a1.

  115. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    OpenAI's o1 is losing money.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-sam-altman-thinks-that-agi-is-basically-784185-a2.

  116. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-sam-altman-thinks-that-agi-is-basically-784185-2

    The openai screen reads the claim differently.

  117. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Where data augmentation isn't possible, o1 may not be much better than GPT-4, for example on some language tasks.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-sam-altman-thinks-that-agi-is-basically-6c0fd9-a1.

  118. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Test-time scaling is very expensive and will likely prove unreliable outside domains where data augmentation is adequate.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-sam-altman-thinks-that-agi-is-basically-199106-a1.

  119. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-sam-altman-thinks-that-agi-is-basically-199106-2

    The openai review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.

  120. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    So far Marcus has not seen a principled solution to even one of these longstanding problems, and he says that tells him a lot.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-sam-altman-thinks-that-agi-is-basically-16700a-a1.

  121. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    The lack of distinct, accessible, reliable database-style records leads to hallucinations, as Marcus noted in 2001.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-sam-altman-thinks-that-agi-is-basically-0a0fa4-a1.

  122. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-sam-altman-then-and-now-dda869

    The anthropic screen doubts the attribution.

  123. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Altman did not know how to build AGI in January 2025 and probably still does not as of February 2026.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-sam-altman-and-the-day-nvidias-meteoric-f9cb01-a1.

  124. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-sam-altman-and-the-day-nvidias-meteoric-eb35c6

    The anthropic review reads the claim differently.

  125. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-sam-altman-and-the-day-nvidias-meteoric-e6b92c

    The final-text check failed: citations_correct.

  126. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Nvidia's flat stock since August 2025 shows its rise has run out of gas, though it has not crashed.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-sam-altman-and-the-day-nvidias-meteoric-cf329c-a1.

  127. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    The market may now be ready, and desperate, for AI approaches beyond LLM hype.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-sam-altman-and-the-day-nvidias-meteoric-b7f6bc-a1.

  128. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    AI tech stocks such as Nvidia, CoreWeave and Oracle, and OpenAI's reputation, will probably fall further.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-sam-altman-and-the-day-nvidias-meteoric-a99089-a1.

  129. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-sam-altman-and-the-day-nvidias-meteoric-a99089-2

    The openai screen reads the claim differently.

  130. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-sam-altman-and-the-day-nvidias-meteoric-a536b5

    The anthropic review does not accept e5 as contradicts.

  131. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-sam-altman-and-the-day-nvidias-meteoric-91e28b

    The openai screen reads the claim differently.

  132. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-sam-altman-and-the-day-nvidias-meteoric-8b0136

    The two reviews differ: anthropic historical_observation/not_applicable/mixed, openai historical_observation/not_applicable/unresolved.

  133. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Altman's January 2025 claim that OpenAI was confident it knew how to build AGI was a bluff.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-sam-altman-and-the-day-nvidias-meteoric-7de474-a1.

  134. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Circular financing in AI is a warning sign that the market is propped up rather than healthy.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-sam-altman-and-the-day-nvidias-meteoric-5a1c34-a2.

  135. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-sam-altman-and-the-day-nvidias-meteoric-224614

    The anthropic screen reads the claim differently.

  136. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    With LLM mania subsiding, there might actually be a chance for newcomers to try new things.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-sam-altman-and-the-day-nvidias-meteoric-1671c1-a1.

  137. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-sam-altman-and-the-day-nvidias-meteoric-159d0e

    The anthropic screen reads the claim differently.

  138. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-rumors-of-agis-arrival-have-been-f61a0b

    The openai review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.

  139. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    By original AGI standards, current AI systems remain limited.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-rumors-of-agis-arrival-have-been-c64d40-a1.

  140. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    AGI has not already been achieved; rumors that it has are greatly exaggerated.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-rumors-of-agis-arrival-have-been-c33bcf-a1.

  141. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Recent claims of achieving AGI conflate sophisticated statistical approximation with intelligence itself.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-rumors-of-agis-arrival-have-been-c2d0d9-a1.

  142. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-rumors-of-agis-arrival-have-been-b7f930

    The openai review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.

  143. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Impressive task-level performance is not sufficient evidence of general intelligence.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-rumors-of-agis-arrival-have-been-9921c1-a1.

  144. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-rumors-of-agis-arrival-have-been-989eab

    The openai review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.

  145. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-rumors-of-agis-arrival-have-been-7479db

    The openai review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.

  146. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Overestimating AI's cognitive capacities as it is embedded in decision-making risks misallocating trust, responsibility, and authority.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-rumors-of-agis-arrival-have-been-65125a-a1.

  147. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Chen et al.'s (2026) claims that AGI has been achieved depend on redefining the historical meaning of AGI.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-rumors-of-agis-arrival-have-been-571185-a2.

  148. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-rumors-of-agis-arrival-have-been-4dd675

    The anthropic screen finds the claim checkable, so it must be graded.

  149. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    LLM proofs of isolated open math problems, including Erdős problems, do not show general intelligence.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-rumors-of-agis-arrival-have-been-197ebe-a1.

  150. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    AI benchmarks are often easily gamed.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-rumors-of-agis-arrival-have-been-0b1c6b-a1.

  151. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-rumors-of-agis-arrival-have-been-0779c8

    The final-text check failed; overclaims: On the most-cited leaderboard, rank gains partly reflected benchmark-specific overfitting, not general quality..

  152. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    LLMs' behavioral similarity to humans alone gives no insight into whether they have judgment, error correction, or reliable generalization.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-rumors-of-agis-arrival-have-been-06f36e-a1.

  153. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    LLMs are mimics and what they say is not always true.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-richard-dawkins-and-the-claude-delusion-ef103d-a1.

  154. HeldBy this siteGary Marcus

    Held record marcus-richard-dawkins-and-the-claude-delusion-b7b0d5

    The final-text check failed: citations_correct.

  155. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Claude is akin to a counterfeit person.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-richard-dawkins-and-the-claude-delusion-ad8890-a1.

  156. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Machine intelligence, as in a chess computer, does not entail consciousness.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-richard-dawkins-and-the-claude-delusion-a11ee7-a1.

  157. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    There is no reason to think Claude feels anything at all.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-richard-dawkins-and-the-claude-delusion-7e3f60-a1.

  158. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    It does not follow from LLMs saying things people say that LLMs are like people.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-richard-dawkins-and-the-claude-delusion-688f63-a1.

  159. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    LLM mimicry of human speech, however rich, proves very little about consciousness.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-richard-dawkins-and-the-claude-delusion-5b607f-a1.

  160. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Claude's outputs come from a form of mimicry and are not reports of genuine internal states.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-richard-dawkins-and-the-claude-delusion-43e78e-a1.

  161. Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus

    Dawkins should never have glorified Claude, which Marcus describes as akin to a counterfeit person.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment marcus-richard-dawkins-and-the-claude-delusion-136625-a1.