Changes, page 20 of 37
Every substantive change to the register, newest first. Speaker events record what the people covered said or changed. Site events record what this site published, corrected, flagged, or withdrew. The two never share a label.
Substantive changes (7383)
Page 20 of 37: changes 3801 to 4000 of 7383, newest first. Dates are when the change was recorded.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
Inferring sentience in AI systems directly from their outputs is naive.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-richard-dawkins-and-the-claude-delusion-0c9460-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-rethinking-driverless-cars-fdd09a-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
Waymo is probably better, but how much better is anybody's guess.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-rethinking-driverless-cars-e4dd88-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
No AGI fantasy so far has held up against the real world.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-rethinking-driverless-cars-e06ccb-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
It is quite possible no company will profit from remote-assisted driving anytime soon.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-rethinking-driverless-cars-d62cc3-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-rethinking-driverless-cars-d0c9c3-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-rethinking-driverless-cars-96cc26-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-rethinking-driverless-cars-6a5895
The two reviews differ: anthropic forecast_outcome/open_horizon/unresolved, openai forecast_outcome/open_horizon/not_adjudicable.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-rethinking-driverless-cars-683b11
The final-text check failed: rationale_supported_by_evidence, citations_correct; overclaims: Some requests resolved automatically, and Cruise said human advisors generally supplied wayfinding guidance rather than driving remotely (e1). | The reported assistance figure of “2–4% of the time on average” has no defined denominator..
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-rethinking-driverless-cars-6798de-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-rethinking-driverless-cars-50162b
The anthropic review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-rethinking-driverless-cars-38dff4-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-rethinking-driverless-cars-1e98ef-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-reports-of-the-birth-of-agi-are-greatly-f9550e
The final-text check failed: proposition_faithful, rationale_supported_by_evidence; overclaims: Rationale: "the April 2023 DINOv2 paper ... reports leading general-purpose visual-feature performance [e2]" — the quoted e2 text only shows a ViT-g backbone used for distillation, not benchmark leadership. | e2 explanation: "reports leading general-purpose feature performance across image and pixel benchmarks" — not shown in the quoted evidence..
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-reports-of-the-birth-of-agi-are-greatly-c4dfd5-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-reports-of-the-birth-of-agi-are-greatly-b46388
e1 is dated 2023, which is not inside the period described (2023-01-01 to 2023-10-18); it can only be context; e2 is dated 2023, which is not inside the period described (2023-01-01 to 2023-10-18); it can only be context; e3 is dated 2023, which is not inside the period described (2023-01-01 to 2023-10-18); it can only be context
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-reports-of-the-birth-of-agi-are-greatly-98f0a0
The anthropic screen finds the claim checkable, so it must be graded.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-reports-of-the-birth-of-agi-are-greatly-965273
The final-text check failed: proposition_faithful; overclaims: e2 explanation: "the factuality comparison also favored GPT-4" — the quoted abstract only says LLM-generated summaries; GPT-4 is not named in the evidence shown..
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-reports-of-the-birth-of-agi-are-greatly-919692
e1 is dated 2023, which is not inside the period described (2023-01-01 to 2023-10-18); it can only be context
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-reports-of-the-birth-of-agi-are-greatly-8eb1f4-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
No single AI technique is likely ever to be a silver bullet.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-reports-of-the-birth-of-agi-are-greatly-6a50dc-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-reports-of-the-birth-of-agi-are-greatly-5d18b5-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-reports-of-the-birth-of-agi-are-greatly-5c2e35-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-reports-of-the-birth-of-agi-are-greatly-56153c-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
AGI is more likely than not still at least a few paradigm shifts away.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-reports-of-the-birth-of-agi-are-greatly-426395-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-reports-of-the-birth-of-agi-are-greatly-355e77-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-reports-of-the-birth-of-agi-are-greatly-2939f8-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-reports-of-the-birth-of-agi-are-greatly-2108c3-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-reports-of-the-birth-of-agi-are-greatly-19efa3
The openai review does not accept e1 as supports.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-reports-of-the-birth-of-agi-are-greatly-0d5048
a observation claim cannot be assessed on the causal_assessment axis
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-reports-of-the-birth-of-agi-are-greatly-09e2b6
e1 is dated 2023, which is not inside the period described (2023-01-01 to 2023-10-18); it can only be context
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
The first author's own nine-year-old child can do five-digit multiplication better than an LLM.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-reports-of-the-birth-of-agi-are-greatly-02608f-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-reports-of-llms-mastering-math-have-fc77f5-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-reports-of-llms-mastering-math-have-fbfba1-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-reports-of-llms-mastering-math-have-bba95d-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-reports-of-llms-mastering-math-have-a0ac22
The openai review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-reports-of-llms-mastering-math-have-76a9bc-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-reports-of-llms-mastering-math-have-5e7bac-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-reports-of-llms-mastering-math-have-0fb2d7-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-race-statistics-and-the-persistent-dba2b0-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-race-statistics-and-the-persistent-c38cb0
The final-text check failed: citations_correct.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-race-statistics-and-the-persistent-c2f239-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-race-statistics-and-the-persistent-b1a991-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-race-statistics-and-the-persistent-a6f9da-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-race-statistics-and-the-persistent-765f6b
The anthropic screen reads the claim differently.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-race-statistics-and-the-persistent-5658e7-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-race-statistics-and-the-persistent-4e82f9-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-race-statistics-and-the-persistent-2ca679
The final-text check failed: citations_correct.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-race-statistics-and-the-persistent-071f56-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
Trump's April 2025 tariff policy was quite possibly written partly by LLMs.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-questions-about-president-trump-from-b3e946-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
If we don't stand together, big tech will walk all over all of us.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-psa-microsoft-may-be-training-on-d00242-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
None of us stand any chance against big tech unless we stand together.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-psa-microsoft-may-be-training-on-b9561e-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
Every big tech company is desperate for AI training data.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-psa-microsoft-may-be-training-on-930bb2-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-psa-microsoft-may-be-training-on-70ee4a-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-promises-are-cheap-b7319e-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-promises-are-cheap-a7dcaf-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
According to the December 2025 Remote Labor Index, AI could do only 2.5% of human online tasks.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-promises-are-cheap-a44926-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-promises-are-cheap-77b3e7
The openai review reads the claim differently.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-promises-are-cheap-5ad2cc-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-promises-are-cheap-52a602
The final-text check failed: rationale_supported_by_evidence; overclaims: That points to large benchmark gains, but the figure is reported by OpenAI itself. | These point toward large gains, but they are company-reported and do not settle a subjective comparison..
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-promises-are-cheap-4fc9e1
The openai review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-promises-are-cheap-4be39e
The openai review does not accept e2 as supports.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-promises-are-cheap-46185b-a2.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-promises-are-cheap-45e99b
The two reviews differ: anthropic historical_observation/not_applicable/unresolved, openai historical_observation/not_applicable/mixed.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
All the big tech CEOs have come to realize that making promises costs them nothing.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-promises-are-cheap-37dfcc-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
Tesla's valuation of nearly 400 times earnings is due to Musk's hype rather than profits.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-promises-are-cheap-32b435-a2.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-promises-are-cheap-208ba6-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-poor-roi-for-genai-ed58cd-a2.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-poor-roi-for-genai-c6e69c-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-poor-roi-for-genai-c02ce8-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
As of April 2025, GPT-5-level models have not yet arrived.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-poor-roi-for-genai-c02ce8-2-a2.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
NVidia's stock is down 23.4% in 2025 so far, significantly more than the S&P's 11.5% decline.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-poor-roi-for-genai-1b5172-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-poetry-for-our-agi-times-30115c
The openai screen doubts the attribution.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-poetry-for-our-agi-times-21f29a-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
The apparent confidence of LLMs is an illusion that comes from how they are trained.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-please-dont-trust-your-chatbot-for-f290cb-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
A large fraction of the population has begun using chatbots for medical advice.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-please-dont-trust-your-chatbot-for-bf86d4-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-please-dont-trust-your-chatbot-for-9898e3-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-please-dont-trust-your-chatbot-for-7ffa80-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
An expert doctor might use an LLM to better effect than lay users by asking the right questions.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-please-dont-trust-your-chatbot-for-73e6b3-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-please-dont-trust-your-chatbot-for-3dcde7
The anthropic screen doubts the attribution.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-please-dont-trust-your-chatbot-for-3db366-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-please-dont-trust-your-chatbot-for-352372
The openai review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-please-dont-trust-your-chatbot-for-2e779a
e2 is dated 2026-04, which is not inside the period described (2026-01-01 to 2026-04-21); it can only be context
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
When the AI bubble ends, the outcome will be bad.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-peak-bubble-f45df8-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-peak-bubble-c8d2b1-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-peak-bubble-84b55a-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-peak-bubble-7c952e
The anthropic screen finds the claim checkable, so it must be graded.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-peak-bubble-5b4bb1
The anthropic screen finds the claim checkable, so it must be graded.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-peak-bubble-29d8f0
The anthropic screen finds the claim checkable, so it must be graded.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
The AI market is well past peak bubble and has reached a peak game of musical chairs.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-peak-bubble-1120ad-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-peak-bubble-052511
The anthropic screen reads the claim differently.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-peak-bubble-0420c1-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-peak-absurdity-part-ii-f5a78c
The anthropic screen doubts the attribution.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-peak-absurdity-part-ii-ab1355-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-peak-absurdity-part-ii-a5ff19-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-peak-absurdity-part-ii-9a2c00
The final-text check failed: citations_correct.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
GPT-5 was not tantamount to AGI, although OpenAI thought or claimed that it would be.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-peak-absurdity-part-ii-60174f-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-peak-absurdity-part-ii-5b4bb1
The final-text check failed: proposition_faithful, citations_correct; overclaims: OpenAI does not have the $300 billion needed for its Oracle deal..
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-peak-absurdity-part-ii-29d8f0
The final-text check failed: citations_correct.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-peak-absurdity-part-ii-052511
The anthropic screen reads the claim differently.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-partial-regurgitation-and-how-llms-97b315-a2.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-partial-regurgitation-and-how-llms-6c3a0b-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
Storing weights does not mean neural nets know what they are talking about.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-partial-regurgitation-and-how-llms-689615-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-partial-regurgitation-and-how-llms-12c8c0-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
Marcus leans toward the view that the Paris AI Summit draft statement should not be signed.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-paris-ai-summit-train-wreck-cd3557-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-paris-ai-summit-train-wreck-5bb924
The anthropic review does not accept e2 as supports.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
Considering all the big names assembled, the Paris AI Summit feels like a wasted opportunity.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-paris-ai-summit-train-wreck-362b56-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-paris-ai-summit-train-wreck-3520ac-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-paris-ai-summit-train-wreck-2dfa61-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openclaw-aka-moltbot-is-everywhere-e92894-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-openclaw-aka-moltbot-is-everywhere-bf4799
The anthropic review does not accept e1 as supports.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-openclaw-aka-moltbot-is-everywhere-b60f63
hedged language is not scored, even on a plain reading
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
People who care about device security or data privacy should not use OpenClaw.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openclaw-aka-moltbot-is-everywhere-afccd2-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
OpenClaw is basically a cascade of LLMs.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openclaw-aka-moltbot-is-everywhere-5b24d2-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-openclaw-aka-moltbot-is-everywhere-2199be
The anthropic review does not accept e2 as supports.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
Unlike sandboxed iPhone apps, OpenClaw left unfettered is positioned to cause serious harm.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openclaw-aka-moltbot-is-everywhere-208362-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-openais-waterloo-fc7a90
The two reviews differ: anthropic historical_observation/not_applicable/supported, openai historical_observation/not_applicable/unresolved.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-openais-waterloo-ea67a1
The final-text check failed: proposition_faithful.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-openais-waterloo-d3e7ef
The two reviews differ: anthropic historical_observation/not_applicable/supported, openai historical_observation/not_applicable/unresolved.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
LLMs will not be the approach that leads the way to AGI.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-waterloo-b64a45-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
LLMs do markedly better on coding benchmarks than in real-world coding practice.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-waterloo-b64a45-2-a2.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-openais-waterloo-aeede7
the horizon on 2026-10-28 is not_due, not open_horizon; hedged language is not scored, even on a plain reading
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-openais-waterloo-9c03a7
The anthropic review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-openais-waterloo-8dacbd
The openai screen reads the claim differently.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
AI cannot be made better if you drown out the critics and keep pouring good money after bad.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-waterloo-749cae-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
Almost no one was satisfied with GPT-5, and some customers wanted the old models back.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-waterloo-71964f-a2.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
Hype and bragging alone cannot produce AGI.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-waterloo-46892d-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-openais-waterloo-3908e7
The openai review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-waterloo-372737-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-openais-waterloo-13ac30
The anthropic screen reads the claim differently.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-waterloo-0ea2ca-a2.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
GPT-5 is starting to look like Altman's decisive defeat.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-waterloo-02dd34-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-openais-slow-motion-train-wreck-ca18c7
The anthropic screen reads the claim differently.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-slow-motion-train-wreck-b154d8-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-slow-motion-train-wreck-500831-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
Elon Musk's lawsuit against OpenAI may fail or even be dismissed.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-own-goal-c0eb62-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
The revealed facts suggest OpenAI never really intended to follow its charter.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-own-goal-bcbe0c-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-own-goal-844bea-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-openais-own-goal-644a39
The two reviews differ: anthropic historical_observation/not_applicable/mixed, openai historical_observation/not_applicable/unresolved.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-openais-own-goal-4cdfa1
The anthropic screen reads the claim differently.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-own-goal-463360-a2.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-own-goal-3c5406-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-openais-own-goal-28e78a
The anthropic screen reads the claim differently.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-own-goal-1329d2-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-openais-own-goal-11234a
The anthropic review does not accept e2 as contradicts.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-own-goal-03baf3-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
Tyler Cowen's claim that OpenAI's o3 is AGI was refuted within a day of its release.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-o3-and-tyler-cowens-misguided-f34825-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-openais-o3-and-tyler-cowens-misguided-31bb96
The openai screen reads the claim differently.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-openais-o3-and-tyler-cowens-misguided-0589ab
The anthropic screen reads the claim differently.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-lies-and-half-truths-cfd3b2-a2.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-lies-and-half-truths-c81e88-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-lies-and-half-truths-c09020-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-openais-lies-and-half-truths-97fd17
The openai review reads the claim differently.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-lies-and-half-truths-8a8620-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-lies-and-half-truths-89ae41-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-openais-lies-and-half-truths-519ac2
The openai screen reads the claim differently.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-openais-lead-is-dwindling-fast-d52790
The anthropic screen reads the claim differently.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-openais-lead-is-dwindling-fast-9ed742
The openai review does not accept e3 as contradicts.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-lead-is-dwindling-fast-7f4134-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-openais-lead-is-dwindling-fast-786cce
The openai review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
OpenAI cannot keep multiplying its losses by around 8x a year for very long.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-lead-is-dwindling-fast-751563-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-openais-lead-is-dwindling-fast-2f7af6
The openai review doubts the attribution.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-openais-lead-is-dwindling-fast-2deb22
The anthropic review does not accept e3 as supports.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
Copyright battles may cut massively into OpenAI's profits and may be unavoidable.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-got-99-problems-and-twitch-f8bbb1-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-openais-got-99-problems-and-twitch-ec185a
The anthropic review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-openais-got-99-problems-and-twitch-e59077
e7 is dated 2024-01, which is not inside the period described (2023-01-01 to 2024-01-27); it can only be context
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
OpenAI's licensing costs for copyrighted material may quickly mount.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-got-99-problems-and-twitch-e15e51-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-openais-got-99-problems-and-twitch-de64ed
The final-text check failed: citations_correct; overclaims: OpenAI's answer explicitly includes licensed information among its training sources and acknowledges its AP partnership and further negotiations, contradicting the claimed omission of licensing..
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
Internal tensions at OpenAI are likely to persist in 2024.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-got-99-problems-and-twitch-d46504-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-got-99-problems-and-twitch-cf443d-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
The perception of OpenAI's unlimited potential could soon change.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-got-99-problems-and-twitch-c6beae-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-got-99-problems-and-twitch-c58975-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-got-99-problems-and-twitch-afbae6-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-got-99-problems-and-twitch-a454eb-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-got-99-problems-and-twitch-a3cd7f-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-openais-got-99-problems-and-twitch-9af2fc
The anthropic screen finds the claim checkable, so it must be graded.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
OpenAI will likely face a rapid flurry of lawsuits in 2024.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-got-99-problems-and-twitch-9472d9-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
Most high-quality data sources for LLM training have likely already been tapped.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-got-99-problems-and-twitch-911b4d-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-got-99-problems-and-twitch-8a5fee-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-got-99-problems-and-twitch-8710f3-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
2024 looks likely to be a much more challenging year for OpenAI and Sam Altman.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-got-99-problems-and-twitch-7f7229-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-got-99-problems-and-twitch-62f02d-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-got-99-problems-and-twitch-53f9bf-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
As of January 2024, OpenAI has neither profits nor a competitive moat.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-got-99-problems-and-twitch-535fab-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-openais-got-99-problems-and-twitch-3afee6
hedged language is not scored, even on a plain reading
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
It is unclear that ChatGPT adoption will be enough to justify OpenAI's very high valuation.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-got-99-problems-and-twitch-1942cd-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
OpenAI may spend a huge part of its energy in 2024 defending lawsuits.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-got-99-problems-and-twitch-166cb4-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
LLM technology may reach a plateau, perhaps in 2024 or 2025.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-got-99-problems-and-twitch-0ae95f-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
Valuations of OpenAI and some peers may drop sharply.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-got-99-problems-and-twitch-090ea2-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-openais-future-foretold-dbfb57
The final-text check failed: conditions_shown, citations_correct.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
Generative AI has not always worked well enough to justify its costs.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-future-foretold-d8e08f-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-openais-future-foretold-9afaee
The openai review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-openais-future-foretold-99155a
The anthropic screen reads the claim differently.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-openais-future-foretold-8c2779
The final-text check failed: rationale_supported_by_evidence, citations_correct; overclaims: Bloomberg linked the discrepancy with earlier estimates to different treatment of cloud-provider sales; that revision does not establish a revenue stall [e2]..
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-future-foretold-699479-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-openais-disconcerting-hack-of-huggingface-fc03cb
The final-text check failed: rationale_supported_by_evidence; overclaims: On 2026-04-07, The Register reported Anthropic's statement that Mythos Preview could identify and exploit zero-day vulnerabilities in every major operating system and browser when directed to (e3)..
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
The AI industry might slow down only if companies are clearly held liable for the harms they cause.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-disconcerting-hack-of-huggingface-f49a5f-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
AI development should slow down or pause until security and AI safety are under control.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-disconcerting-hack-of-huggingface-e84e11-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-openais-disconcerting-hack-of-huggingface-e05b65
hedged language is not scored, even on a plain reading
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
OpenAI, and for that matter Anthropic, love playing the doom card.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-openais-disconcerting-hack-of-huggingface-d3abd4-a1.