Pundit ClaimsAI claims by Gary Marcus and Ed Zitron, with the evidence

“As people begin to recognize that truth (the bitter lesson about limits of Sutton’s The Bitter Lesson), scientists will start to charts new paths. One of the new paths may even give rise to what we so desperately need: AI that we can trust.”

OpenAI’s Waterloo? [with corrections], paragraph 35. The full statement is at the source.

Our reading, the sentence that was checked:

As the limits of scaling become recognized, scientists will pursue new approaches, one of which may produce trustworthy AI.

Assessment: Can’t be checked Not checked against evidence

Where and when Gary Marcus wrote it

Marcus on AI, OpenAI’s Waterloo? [with corrections], paragraph 35.

Said
Source observed
live page, full text, public
Evidence
Not checkedboth screens found it cannot be checked
Assessment recorded
assessment marcus-openais-waterloo-372737-a1

We recorded 8 claims from this post. See every claim from this post.

The wording above is the version this site observed on 2026-10-28. The source may have been edited after 2025-08-14. This page does not claim the wording was captured then.

What the claim commits to

Kind
Conditional forecast
Deadline, as the speaker wrote it
None stated. This site does not add one.
Deadline state when assessed
No horizon
Deadline state on 2026-10-29
No horizon (the release’s reference date)

Conditions

  • as people recognize the limits of scaling LLMs (antecedent, stated by the speaker)

From the speaker

  • as people recognize the limits of scaling LLMs

Our interpretation

None added.

This claim is not graded on evidence. The record checks that the words are quoted correctly and attributed to the right person, and that the claim is classified correctly.

Current assessment

Not graded on evidence

Outcome: Can’t be checked

Both AI providers screened this claim on their own and found that public evidence could not settle it. It is recorded and attributed, not scored.

Why it can’t be checked

Each screen gave its own reason:

  • Too vague to test: informed readers would test it in different ways and reach different answers.
  • Stated as a chance or a possibility, or at medium or low confidence.
Evidence
Not checked
Deadline state when assessed
No horizon
Assessment recorded
Policy version
2026-10-28.7

Rationale

Not checked against evidence. Two independent screens, one from each provider, both found that evidence could not settle it: one found it too vague to test: informed readers would test it in different ways and reach different answers; the other found it stated as a chance or a possibility, or at medium or low confidence.

Limitations

None recorded.

Evidence (0 items)

No evidence was searched for. Both screens found that public evidence could not settle this claim.

Where it was said (1)

Said once in the sources this register covers.

  • : Marcus on AI, OpenAI’s Waterloo? [with corrections]

    As people begin to recognize that truth (the bitter lesson about limits of Sutton’s The Bitter Lesson), scientists will start to charts new paths. One of the new paths may even give rise to what we so desperately need: AI that we can trust.

    Published
    2025-08-14
    Source observed
    , live page
    Access
    full text, public

History

Assessment versions

Recorded events

  1. Assessment publishedBy this site

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    About assessment marcus-openais-waterloo-372737-a1.