“One is left simply having to test everything, all the time, with little guarantees of anything. Some model might be big enough for task T of size S and fail on the next size, or on Task T’ that is slightly different, etc. It all becomes a crapshoot.”
Our reading, the sentence that was checked:
Because some model might be big enough for a task of one size yet fail on the next size or on a slightly different task, one is left having to test everything all the time with little guarantee of anything, making it all a crapshoot.
Assessment: Can’t be checked Not checked against evidence
Where and when Gary Marcus wrote it
Marcus on AI, Seven replies to the viral Apple reasoning paper – and why they fall short, paragraph 8.
- Said
- Source observed
- live page, full text, public
- Evidence
- Not checkedboth screens found it cannot be checked
- Assessment recorded
- assessment marcus-seven-replies-to-the-viral-apple-31b05e-a1
We recorded 13 claims from this post. See every claim from this post.
The wording above is the version this site observed on 2026-10-28. The source may have been edited after 2025-06-12. This page does not claim the wording was captured then.
What the claim commits to
- Kind
- Causal claim
- Deadline, as the speaker wrote it
- None stated. This site does not add one.
- Deadline state when assessed
- No horizon
- Deadline state on 2026-10-29
- No horizon (the release’s reference date)
Conditions
- when relying on bigger models (scope, stated by the speaker)
- some model might (qualifier, stated by the speaker)
From the speaker
- when relying on bigger models
- some model might
Our interpretation
None added.
This claim is not graded on evidence. The record checks that the words are quoted correctly and attributed to the right person, and that the claim is classified correctly.
Current assessment
Not graded on evidence
Outcome: Can’t be checked
Both AI providers screened this claim on their own and found that public evidence could not settle it. It is recorded and attributed, not scored.
Why it can’t be checked
Each screen gave its own reason:
- Too vague to test: informed readers would test it in different ways and reach different answers.
- Stated as a chance or a possibility, or at medium or low confidence.
- Evidence
- Not checked
- Deadline state when assessed
- No horizon
- Assessment recorded
- Policy version
- 2026-10-28.7
Rationale
Not checked against evidence. Two independent screens, one from each provider, both found that evidence could not settle it: one found it too vague to test: informed readers would test it in different ways and reach different answers; the other found it stated as a chance or a possibility, or at medium or low confidence.
Limitations
None recorded.
Evidence (0 items)
No evidence was searched for. Both screens found that public evidence could not settle this claim.
Where it was said (1)
Said once in the sources this register covers.
: Marcus on AI, Seven replies to the viral Apple reasoning paper – and why they fall short
One is left simply having to test everything, all the time, with little guarantees of anything. Some model might be big enough for task T of size S and fail on the next size, or on Task T’ that is slightly different, etc. It all becomes a crapshoot.
- Where
- paragraph 8
- Published
- 2025-06-12
- Source observed
- , live page
- Access
- full text, public
History
Assessment versions
- Assessment marcus-seven-replies-to-the-viral-apple-31b05e-a1: Current. Outcome: Can’t be checked. Not checked against evidence. Public date not recorded.