Pundit ClaimsAI claims by Gary Marcus and Ed Zitron, with the evidence

“As a result of its unwillingness to share hard numbers, all we have to look at are numbers like those I've received from Similarweb and Sensor Tower, and it's fair to suggest that Gemini and its associated products have been a complete flop.”

There Is No AI Revolution, paragraph 145.

Our reading:

Given Google's refusal to share hard numbers and the Similarweb and Sensor Tower data, it is fair to suggest that Gemini and its associated products have been a complete flop.

Assessment: Can’t be checked

What happened

Not graded on evidence

Outcome: Can’t be checked

An opinion, a recommendation, or too vague to test. Listed, not scored.

Evidence up to . Checked .

Why

He hedged this claim: he said it is 'fair to suggest' Gemini has been a 'complete flop', based on the limited third-party data he had. He gave no measure for a flop and did not say which 'associated products' count. Grading it would mean picking a success bar and a product set he never stated. For context, court data showed Gemini at 9 million daily users in October 2024, rising to 35 million by March 2025, so the numbers could be read either way. Because the claim is hedged and has no stated measure, it is not graded.

Caveats

  • Usage data is given as context only and does not grade the claim.

Evidence (1 item)

Claims like this aren’t scored, so there is no evidence to show.

How we judged it

Kind of claim
Observation
Deadline
None given. We don’t add one.

Conditions

  • fair to suggest (their words)
  • based on Similarweb and Sensor Tower data (their words)

Where we had to interpret

  • The claim is hedged ('it's fair to suggest') and is framed as an inference from the limited third-party data he had.
  • 'Complete flop' has no stated threshold, and 'associated products' is undefined. Grading it would mean choosing a success bar and a product set the speaker did not give.
  • For these reasons it is treated as a hedged judgment, not a firm factual claim.

We don’t grade claims like this. We only check the quote and who said it.

What would settle it

A firm restatement with a defined product set and success threshold could be tested against Google's reported usage and revenue.

We found 49 claims in this post. See them all.

Full record

Source and dates

Where's Your Ed At, There Is No AI Revolution, paragraph 145.

Said
We read the source
live page, full text, public
Evidence up to
Checked

We read this wording on 2026-10-28. The post may have been edited after 2025-02-24.

Where it was said (1)

Said once in the posts we read.

  • : Where's Your Ed At, There Is No AI Revolution

    As a result of its unwillingness to share hard numbers, all we have to look at are numbers like those I've received from Similarweb and Sensor Tower, and it's fair to suggest that Gemini and its associated products have been a complete flop.

    Published
    2025-02-24
    We read it
    , live page
    Access
    full text, public

History

Versions

  • Current: Can’t be checked. Evidence up to 2026-10-28.

What happened to this record

  1. PublishedBy us

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  2. Held backBy us

    A reviewer said our test wasn’t fair to what was actually said.