Pundit ClaimsAI claims by Gary Marcus and Ed Zitron, with the evidence

“I think it’s reasonable to believe that the majority — if not the entirety — of Hopper GPUs are installed, leaving us with millions of Blackwell GPUs waiting to be installed.”

Where're All The AI Chips?, paragraph 70.

Our reading:

The author thinks it is reasonable to believe that the majority, if not all, of Hopper GPUs are installed, which leaves millions of Blackwell GPUs waiting to be installed.

Assessment: Can’t be checked

What happened

Not graded on evidence

Outcome: Can’t be checked

An opinion, a recommendation, or too vague to test. Listed, not scored.

Evidence up to . Checked .

Why

Zitron frames the statement as "I think it's reasonable to believe". That makes it a hedged judgment, not a firm claim about how many Hopper or Blackwell GPUs were installed. In the post, he bases it on his own rough estimates of NVIDIA's Hopper and Blackwell sales. Under the register's policy, a hedged belief is not scored and is recorded as not adjudicable. The evidence packet has no evidence items. It records no source that counts Blackwell GPUs shipped but not installed.

Caveats

  • The packet has no evidence items, so neither the Hopper premise nor the Blackwell figure was checked against any source.
  • The search was narrow: one query, about Microsoft.
  • The count would depend on whether "millions" means GPU dies or packages, and on whether "installed" requires connected power.

Evidence (0 items)

Claims like this aren’t scored, so there is no evidence to show.

How we judged it

Kind of claim
Observation
Deadline
None given. We don’t add one.

Conditions

  • I think it's reasonable to believe (their words)

Where we had to interpret

  • The claim is framed as "I think it's reasonable to believe", a hedged judgment about what is plausible, not a firm statement of fact.
  • "Millions of Blackwell GPUs waiting to be installed" is derived from the speaker's own sales estimates and assumptions. No public dataset tracks installed versus uninstalled Blackwell units across the industry.
  • Under the register's policy, a hedged belief is not scored. It is recorded as not adjudicable.

We don’t grade claims like this. We only check the quote and who said it.

We found 55 claims in this post. See them all.

Full record

Source and dates

Where's Your Ed At, Where're All The AI Chips?, paragraph 70.

Said
We read the source
live page, full text, public
Evidence up to
Checked

We read this wording on 2026-10-28. The post may have been edited after 2026-09-22.

Where it was said (1)

Said once in the posts we read.

  • : Where's Your Ed At, Where're All The AI Chips?

    I think it’s reasonable to believe that the majority — if not the entirety — of Hopper GPUs are installed, leaving us with millions of Blackwell GPUs waiting to be installed.

    Published
    2026-09-22
    We read it
    , live page
    Access
    full text, public

History

Versions

  • Current: Can’t be checked. Evidence up to 2026-10-28.

What happened to this record

  1. PublishedBy us

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  2. Held backBy us

    The final check of the write-up failed.

  3. Held backBy us

    A reviewer said our test wasn’t fair to what was actually said.