Pundit ClaimsAI claims by Gary Marcus and Ed Zitron, with the evidence

“Nobody is trying to make these things more efficient, or at the very least nobody has succeeded in doing so.”

The Subprime AI Crisis, paragraph 69. The full statement is at the source.

Our reading, the sentence that was checked:

Nobody has succeeded in making LLMs more efficient.

Assessment: Contradicted Evidence as of

Where and when Ed Zitron wrote it

Where's Your Ed At, The Subprime AI Crisis, paragraph 69.

Said
Source observed
live page, full text, public
Evidence as of
the cutoff for this assessment
Assessment recorded
assessment wyea-subprimeai-86c3bd-a1

We recorded 50 claims from this post. See every claim from this post.

The wording above is the version this site observed on 2026-10-28. The source may have been edited after 2024-09-16. This page does not claim the wording was captured then.

What the claim commits to

Kind
Observation
Deadline, as the speaker wrote it
None stated. This site does not add one.
Deadline state when assessed
No horizon
Deadline state on 2026-10-29
No horizon (the release’s reference date)

From the speaker

  • Nobody is trying
  • at the very least nobody has succeeded
  • make these things more efficient
  • Large Language Models

Our interpretation

  • The ordinary reading is that no one had demonstrated greater efficiency in operating LLMs by publication.
  • Efficiency means using fewer computing resources for comparable model outputs and workloads. A lower retail price alone is insufficient.
  • The surrounding discussion starts in November 2022. I use that month through publication as the observation period; this is a cumulative claim about achievements, not a quarterly financial observation.

Counts as supported if: Credible, sufficiently comprehensive evidence establishes that no demonstrated LLM efficiency improvement existed during the period.

Counts as contradicted if: At least one documented implementation performs comparable LLM work with fewer computing resources during the period.

Retrospective: these criteria were written after the outcome was public.

Current assessment

Was it true for the period described?

Outcome: Contradicted

The dated evidence goes against what the claim committed to, under the criteria frozen before grading.

Scored on a plain reading. The speaker named no measure for this claim, so it was judged on the reading an informed reader would take, stated below under our interpretation. Both reviews had to find that reading fair.

Evidence as of
Deadline state when assessed
No horizon
Assessment recorded
Policy version
2026-10-28.7

Rationale

A documented counterexample defeats the claim that nobody had succeeded. In June 2023, the vLLM developers reported that LMSYS could serve its LLM traffic with 50% fewer GPUs. This concerns computing resources, not merely lower API prices.

Limitations

  • The deployment result is reported by the developers.
  • It does not establish that every model became more efficient or that any provider became profitable.

Evidence (1 item)

  • Goes against the claim: vLLM project, UC Berkeley researchers,

    the above traffic by 50%.

    Why it matters here: The developers report serving the existing LLM traffic with half as many GPUs after changing the serving software. This is a concrete resource-efficiency improvement before publication.

    Publisher
    vLLM project, UC Berkeley researchers
    Kind of source
    Demonstration
    Describes events of
    Public from

Where it was said (1)

Said once in the sources this register covers.

  • : Where's Your Ed At, The Subprime AI Crisis

    Nobody is trying to make these things more efficient, or at the very least nobody has succeeded in doing so.

    Published
    2024-09-16
    Source observed
    , live page
    Access
    full text, public

History

Assessment versions

Recorded events

  1. Assessment publishedBy this site

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    About assessment wyea-subprimeai-86c3bd-a1.