Pundit ClaimsAI claims by Gary Marcus and Ed Zitron, with the evidence

“And the thing that’s maybe most dangerous and that, I think, captures what all of us [speakers at this session] are saying here, is [current AI] doesn’t follow instructions very well.”

Report from the Vatican, paragraph 23.

Our reading:

Current AI does not follow instructions very well, which is perhaps its most dangerous trait.

Assessment: Supported

What happened

Was it true for the period described?

Outcome: Supported

The evidence matches what they said.

Judged on a plain reading. They named no measure, so we used the reading a typical informed reader would take. It is spelled out under “How we judged it”.

Evidence up to . Checked .

Why

The October AgentIF results support the ordinary reliability claim: multiple current models repeatedly fail explicit constraints in realistic agent instructions. Full-instruction success is approximately 31% even for leading entries. This supports a substantial weakness, not an inability to follow instructions at all. Earlier research shows that familiar instruction tests can produce strong results. The proposed support therefore depends on reading Marcus as describing unreliable adherence, rather than uniformly poor performance on every task.

Caveats

  • The qualitative threshold requires interpretation.
  • Current evidence is strongest for complex agent instructions and open-weight models.
  • The tentative claim about greatest danger is not assessed.

Evidence (2 items)

  • Supports the claim: AgentIF research team,

    all constraints are satisfied.

    Why it matters: The dated leaderboard reports DeepSeek-V4-Pro satisfying 67.44% of individual constraints and all constraints on 31.27% of instructions; Qwen3.8-27B scores 65.77% and 31.35%, respectively. Across the listed open-weight models, these results show recurring failures on instructions drawn from real agent applications, supporting the reliability reading of the claim.

    Publisher
    AgentIF research team
    Kind of source
    Benchmark result
    About events on
    Published
  • Context only: Pyatkin and colleagues, arXiv,

    models display good accuracy on IFEval.

    Why it matters: This study reports strong performance on familiar IFEval constraints alongside much weaker generalization to new constraints. It limits any interpretation that instruction following is uniformly poor, but its earlier model evaluations cannot settle October 2026 performance.

    Publisher
    Pyatkin and colleagues, arXiv
    Kind of source
    Preprint, not peer reviewed
    About events on
    Published

How we judged it

Kind of claim
Observation
Deadline
None given. We don’t add one.

Where we had to interpret

  • The surrounding discussion identifies the target as general-purpose LLMs.
  • The plain reading is that these systems have substantial, recurring difficulty reliably obeying clear, feasible instructions. It does not mean they fail every instruction.
  • I use October 2026, through the post date, as the latest reporting month for this ongoing capability claim.
  • The tentative ranking of this weakness as perhaps the most dangerous is not separately scored.

Right if: Contemporaneous evaluations across multiple models and realistic tasks show substantial recurring violations of explicit instructions.

Wrong if: Representative contemporaneous evaluations show consistently reliable adherence across realistic instruction types, with failures confined to exceptional cases.

We wrote this test after the outcome was known.

We found 32 claims in this post. See them all.

Full record

Source and dates

Marcus on AI, Report from the Vatican, paragraph 23.

Said
We read the source
live page, full text, public
Evidence up to
Checked

We read this wording on 2026-11-09. The post may have been edited after 2026-10-31.

Where it was said (1)

Said once in the posts we read.

  • : Marcus on AI, Report from the Vatican

    And the thing that’s maybe most dangerous and that, I think, captures what all of us [speakers at this session] are saying here, is [current AI] doesn’t follow instructions very well.

    Published
    2026-10-31
    We read it
    , live page
    Access
    full text, public

History

Versions

  • Current: Supported. Evidence up to 2026-11-09.

What happened to this record

  1. PublishedBy us

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.