Pundit ClaimsAI claims by Gary Marcus and Ed Zitron, with the evidence

“We don’t know how kids do it; we do know that what we are doing with machines currently isn’t really working.”

Learning Language is Harder Than You Think, paragraph 40. The full statement is at the source.

Our reading, the sentence that was checked:

Current machine approaches to language acquisition are not really working.

Assessment: Unresolved Evidence as of

Where and when Gary Marcus wrote it

Marcus on AI, Learning Language is Harder Than You Think, paragraph 40.

Said
Source observed
live page, full text, public
Evidence as of
the cutoff for this assessment
Assessment recorded
assessment marcus-learning-language-is-harder-than-b73ac2-a1

We recorded 5 claims from this post. See every claim from this post.

The wording above is the version this site observed on 2026-10-29. The source may have been edited after 2022-07-20. This page does not claim the wording was captured then.

What the claim commits to

Kind
Observation
Deadline, as the speaker wrote it
None stated. This site does not add one.
Deadline state when assessed
No horizon
Deadline state on 2026-10-29
No horizon (the release’s reference date)

From the speaker

  • what we are doing with machines currently
  • isn’t really working

Our interpretation

  • Working refers to the immediately preceding goal of interpreting sentences and expressing intended meanings with general language competence.
  • The claim is not read as denying every useful application or every improvement on a language benchmark.
  • The separate statement about how children learn is outside the normalized proposition being assessed.
  • Currently refers to approaches existing on July 20, 2022. With no regular reporting cycle, I use current-year evaluations through that date.

Counts as supported if: Convergent evaluations establish that contemporary approaches failed to achieve reliable general interpretation and expression of meanings.

Counts as contradicted if: A contemporary approach demonstrably achieves reliable general interpretation and expression of meanings across varied unfamiliar situations.

Retrospective: these criteria were written after the outcome was public.

Current assessment

Was it true for the period described?

Outcome: Unresolved

The record was checked, and the evidence available by the cutoff does not settle it.

Scored on a plain reading. The speaker named no measure for this claim, so it was judged on the reading an informed reader would take, stated below under our interpretation. Both reviews had to find that reading fair.

Evidence as of
Deadline state when assessed
No horizon
Assessment recorded
Policy version
2026-10-28.7

Rationale

Contemporary approaches had important failures, but also measurable successes. Structural generalization tests sharply separated weaker sequence models from successful compositional parsers, and LaMDA improved dialogue performance. These findings defeat a reading that nothing useful was working. They do not settle the contextual claim that general interpretation and expression of meaning had not been achieved.

Limitations

  • The selected tasks cover components of language competence.
  • Progress does not by itself establish completion of the stated goal.
  • Observed failures do not establish that every contemporary approach failed.

Evidence (2 items)

  • Context only: arXiv; Weißenhorn et al.,

    low accuracies

    Why it matters here: The comparison identifies a substantial weakness in sequence-to-sequence models while showing that other machine approaches succeed on the same structural tests. Neither result establishes general bidirectional language competence.

    Publisher
    arXiv; Weißenhorn et al.
    Kind of source
    Preprint, not peer reviewed
    Describes events of
    Public from
  • Context only: arXiv; Thoppilan et al.,

    significantly improves performance

    Why it matters here: LaMDA's evaluations report improvements in dialogue quality, safety, and factual grounding, while retaining gaps from humans on some measures. This establishes progress without demonstrating the full language-acquisition goal.

    Publisher
    arXiv; Thoppilan et al.
    Kind of source
    Preprint, not peer reviewed
    Describes events of
    Public from

What would settle it

A representative evaluation of July 2022 approaches against an explicit standard for reliable general comprehension and meaning-preserving generation.

Where it was said (1)

Said once in the sources this register covers.

  • : Marcus on AI, Learning Language is Harder Than You Think

    We don’t know how kids do it; we do know that what we are doing with machines currently isn’t really working.

    Published
    2022-07-20
    Source observed
    , live page
    Access
    full text, public

History

Assessment versions

Recorded events

  1. Assessment publishedBy this site

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    About assessment marcus-learning-language-is-harder-than-b73ac2-a1.