Pundit ClaimsAI claims by Gary Marcus and Ed Zitron, with the evidence

“Outliers remain a problem, too.”

GPT-4’s successes, and GPT-4’s failures, paragraph 4. The full statement is at the source.

Our reading, the sentence that was checked:

Outliers remain a problem for GPT-4.

Assessment: Supported Evidence as of

Where and when Gary Marcus wrote it

Marcus on AI, GPT-4’s successes, and GPT-4’s failures, paragraph 4.

Said
Source observed
live page, full text, public
Evidence as of
the cutoff for this assessment
Assessment recorded
assessment marcus-gpt-4s-successes-and-gpt-4s-failures-ef6e9f-a3

We recorded 13 claims from this post. See every claim from this post.

The wording above is the version this site observed on 2026-10-29. The source may have been edited after 2023-03-15. This page does not claim the wording was captured then.

What the claim commits to

Kind
Observation
Deadline, as the speaker wrote it
None stated. This site does not add one.
Deadline state when assessed
No horizon
Deadline state on 2026-10-29
No horizon (the release’s reference date)

From the speaker

  • Outliers remain a problem, too.
  • GPT-4

Our interpretation

  • The plain reading is that unusual or adversarial inputs still expose failures in GPT-4. This does not assert that every unusual input fails.
  • The target is the March 2023 release state, through the post date. I use March month-to-date as the latest public reporting window.
  • A formal statistical definition of out-of-distribution performance would require a specified reference distribution, which Marcus does not provide.

Counts as supported if: Release-era evidence documents failures on unusual or adversarial inputs.

Counts as contradicted if: Release-era evaluations establish reliable handling of the relevant unusual inputs and show that the alleged failure cases do not apply to GPT-4.

Retrospective: these criteria were written after the outcome was public.

Current assessment

Was it true for the period described?

Outcome: Supported

The dated evidence matches what the claim committed to, under the criteria frozen before grading.

Scored on a plain reading. The speaker named no measure for this claim, so it was judged on the reading an informed reader would take, stated below under our interpretation. Both reviews had to find that reading fair.

Evidence as of
Deadline state when assessed
No horizon
Assessment recorded
Policy version
2026-10-28.7

Rationale

OpenAI's March 14, 2023 disclosure stated that jailbreaks could still make GPT-4 generate content violating its usage guidelines [e1]. This supports the claim's ordinary reading that adversarial inputs could still expose failures at release [e1]. OpenAI also reported improved safety relative to GPT-3.5, alongside those remaining failures [e1].

Limitations

  • The disclosure does not measure the prevalence of remaining jailbreak failures or performance on a formally defined out-of-distribution benchmark [e1].
  • Adversarial safeguard failures do not establish failures across every class of unusual input [e1].
  • The packet provides OpenAI's disclosure without independent replication.

Evidence (1 item)

  • Supports the claim: OpenAI,

    there still exist “jailbreaks”

    Why it matters here: OpenAI acknowledges that specially constructed prompts can still defeat GPT-4's safeguards. This supports the ordinary reading that unusual inputs remain a source of failures.

    Publisher
    OpenAI
    Kind of source
    Company disclosure: the company describing itself, not an independent finding
    Describes events of
    Public from

Where it was said (1)

Said once in the sources this register covers.

  • : Marcus on AI, GPT-4’s successes, and GPT-4’s failures

    Outliers remain a problem, too.

    Published
    2023-03-15
    Source observed
    , live page
    Access
    full text, public

History

Assessment versions

Recorded events

  1. Assessment publishedBy this site

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    About assessment marcus-gpt-4s-successes-and-gpt-4s-failures-ef6e9f-a3.

  2. HeldBy this site

    The final-text check failed: citations_correct.

    About assessment marcus-gpt-4s-successes-and-gpt-4s-failures-ef6e9f-a2, which was not published.