Pundit ClaimsAI claims by Gary Marcus and Ed Zitron, with the evidence

“Smart high schoolers often do original work, like competing for science fair prizes with original ideas or designing and implementing original computer systems singlehandedly. GPT-4 on its own ain’t doing any of that, as far as I know.”

AGI by 2027?, paragraph 5.

Our reading:

As far as Marcus knows, GPT-4 on its own does not produce original work such as science-fair ideas or original computer systems.

Assessment: Can’t be checked

What happened

Not graded on evidence

Outcome: Can’t be checked

An opinion, a recommendation, or too vague to test. Listed, not scored.

Evidence up to . Checked .

Why

On June 5, 2024, Marcus qualified his statement about GPT-4’s original work with “as far as I know” [e1]. This limits the assertion to his knowledge at publication [e1]. The supplied evidence records his statement but does not independently establish what he knew, so it cannot settle the claim as worded [e1].

Caveats

  • The evidence does not establish which qualifying demonstrations Marcus knew about on June 5, 2024.
  • This assessment makes no finding about GPT-4’s ability to produce original work.
  • The statement gives no precise standard for originality or permitted human assistance.

Evidence (1 item)

Claims like this aren’t scored, so there is no evidence to show.

How we judged it

Kind of claim
Observation
Deadline
None given. We don’t add one.

Conditions

  • as far as I know (their words)
  • on its own (their words)

Where we had to interpret

  • The statement expressly qualifies the asserted absence by Marcus’s knowledge at publication on 2024-06-05.
  • Treating it as an unconditional claim that no qualifying GPT-4 demonstration existed would remove that qualification.
  • Software-repair performance does not establish whether GPT-4 produced the original work described.

We don’t grade claims like this. We only check the quote and who said it.

We found 7 claims in this post. See them all.

Full record

Source and dates

Marcus on AI, AGI by 2027?, paragraph 5.

Said
We read the source
live page, full text, public
Evidence up to
Checked

We read this wording on 2026-10-28. The post may have been edited after 2024-06-05.

Where it was said (1)

Said once in the posts we read.

  • : Marcus on AI, AGI by 2027?

    Smart high schoolers often do original work, like competing for science fair prizes with original ideas or designing and implementing original computer systems singlehandedly. GPT-4 on its own ain’t doing any of that, as far as I know.

    Published
    2024-06-05
    We read it
    , live page
    Access
    full text, public

History

Versions

  • Current: Can’t be checked. Evidence up to 2026-10-28.

What happened to this record

  1. PublishedBy us

    Published after both AI reviews and the final check passed.

  2. Held backBy us

    The final check failed: the write-up said more than the evidence showed.

  3. Held backBy us

    A reviewer said our test wasn’t fair to what was actually said.