Generative AI as Shakespearean tragedy
We recorded 6 claims from this post. 1 was checked against evidence. 5 can’t be checked. 3 more are held. Read the post at its source.
Claims from this post (6)
In the order they appear in the post. Each quotation is the speaker’s words in this post. A label such as “Supported” or “Can’t be checked” is the claim’s current assessment; its page has the evidence and the reasons.
Assessment: Can’t be checkedSaid
Observation
“All this happened upon the realization that their systems simply cannot succeed without even more data than the internet-scale data they have already been trained on.”
Our reading: The generative AI systems of major AI companies cannot succeed without even more data than the internet-scale data they were already trained on.
No horizon
Assessment: Can’t be checkedSaid
Observation
“Not one of these problems has been adequately addressed.”
Our reading: None of the problems listed (hallucinations, abstraction and reasoning, brittleness, data guzzling, etc.) has been adequately addressed.
No horizon
Assessment: UnresolvedSaid
Observation
“an intellectual monoculture — with no alternative approach that is nearly as well-funded.”
Our reading: The AI field is an intellectual monoculture in which no alternative approach is nearly as well-funded as generative AI.
No horizon Evidence as of
Limitation: The annual reporting period is inferred.
Assessment: Can’t be checkedSaid
Forecast
“a pile of unreliable systems that are unlikely to live up to the hype.”
Our reading: Current generative AI systems are unreliable and are unlikely to live up to the hype.
No horizon
Assessment: Can’t be checkedSaid
Recommendation or value judgment
“We must invest heavily in alternative approaches and stop funding a losing hand to the infinite degree, crowding everything out.”
Our reading: The field must invest heavily in alternatives to generative AI and stop pouring unlimited funding into it, which crowds out everything else.
No horizon
Assessment: Can’t be checkedSaid
Recommendation or value judgment
“stop funding a losing hand to the infinite degree, crowding everything out.”
Our reading: We must stop funding a losing hand to the infinite degree, which crowds everything else out.
No horizon
Qualifier: to the infinite degree
Held from this post (3)
These records did not pass every check, so nothing about them is published. Held is not a finding.
- The record does not meet the current rules. Our reading, not assessed: The problems Marcus warned about (hallucinations, reasoning failures, echo chamber, data guzzling, ecosphere pollution, etc.) are all occurring now.
- The two reviews read the claim differently
- The record does not meet the current rules. Our reading, not assessed: Generative AI today suffers from brittleness (unreliability), greed for data, opacity, and shallow, never-complete generalization.