Everybody’s out
We recorded 3 claims from this post. 1 was checked against evidence. 2 can’t be checked. 1 more is held. Read the post at its source.
Claims from this post (3)
In the order they appear in the post. Each quotation is the speaker’s words in this post. A label such as “Supported” or “Can’t be checked” is the claim’s current assessment; its page has the evidence and the reasons.
Assessment: SupportedSaid
Observation
“and then, perhaps in keeping with my surmise that Sam’s bluff was called, negotiations broke down altogether.”
Our reading: Negotiations (over Sam Altman's return to OpenAI) broke down altogether, which Marcus says is perhaps in keeping with his surmise that Altman's bluff was called.
No horizon Evidence as of
Limitation: The assessment depends on reading “altogether” within the post's immediate time frame.
Assessment: Can’t be checkedSaid
Forecast
“The $86B secondary sale to Thrive is presumably unlikely to close.”
Our reading: The secondary share sale of OpenAI to Thrive at an $86B valuation is presumably unlikely to close.
No horizon
Assessment: Can’t be checkedSaid
Forecast
“Probably a lot of employees will leave.”
Our reading: A lot of OpenAI employees will probably leave following the breakdown of negotiations to reinstate Sam Altman.
No horizon
Qualifier: following Sam Altman's ouster and breakdown of negotiations
Held from this post (1)
These records did not pass every check, so nothing about them is published. Held is not a finding.
- The criteria are ambiguous. Our reading, not assessed: Sam Altman is out of OpenAI, Greg Brockman presumably is too, and Mira Murati is no longer interim CEO.