Don’t Look Up: The AI Edition
We recorded 4 claims from this post. 3 were checked against evidence. 1 can’t be checked. 2 more are held. Read the post at its source.
Claims from this post (4)
In the order they appear in the post. Each quotation is the speaker’s words in this post. A label such as “Supported” or “Can’t be checked” is the claim’s current assessment; its page has the evidence and the reasons.
Assessment: UnresolvedSaid
Observation
“I presented this example of how even the latest version of Bing, with its new guardrails, could still be manipulated to be useful to troll farms:”
Our reading: Even the latest version of Bing's chatbot, with its new guardrails, can still be manipulated into producing misinformation useful to troll farms.
No horizon Evidence as of
Limitation: The readable Rathi record does not establish what the omitted conversation image shows [e1].
Assessment: SupportedSaid
Forecast
“High volume misinformation is a problem we are going to need to face, and I am just documenting it and trying to raise awareness.”
Our reading: High-volume misinformation generated with AI will be a problem society needs to face.
Settled before its deadline Evidence as of
Limitation: The decisive event uses generated audio rather than chatbot-written text.
Assessment: Can’t be checkedSaid
Forecast
“Already, in the 24 hours or since I posted the original example, there have been more discouraging signs that a massive misinformation mess will soon be upon us.”
Our reading: In the roughly 24 hours since Marcus posted his original example, there have been more discouraging signs that a massive misinformation mess will soon be upon us.
No horizon
Qualifier: based on discouraging signs seen in the past 24 hours or so
Assessment: UnresolvedSaid
Observation
“Meanwhile, within a few hours, a 17-year-old high-school student had largely1 replicated what I was saying, and did so with a simpler, more elegant jailbreak prompt, zero prior context required2:”
Our reading: Within a few hours, a 17-year-old high-school student had largely replicated what Marcus was saying about Bing being usable for misinformation, using a simpler, more elegant jailbreak prompt than his and needing zero prior context.
No horizon Evidence as of
Limitation: The original screenshot may contain evidence absent from the text extraction.
Held from this post (2)
These records did not pass every check, so nothing about them is published. Held is not a finding.